Capital Commentary: 02-07-2026

In the financial markets, sometimes taking no action is a powerful move. This past week, The Numbers adhered to its disciplined, data-driven ethos and remained on the sidelines, choosing not to execute any trades. This decision, underscored by our commitment to only engage when our AI models flag high-confidence opportunities, perhaps speaks to the broader uncertainty rippling through the markets right now.

While one might assume action leads to performance, our approach proved otherwise. By staying put, our portfolio generated a steady return of 0.00%, a seemingly unremarkable number on the surface but one that actually outperformed the S&P 500, which slipped by -0.69% over the same period. On a relative scale, our strategic patience allowed us to best the benchmark by 0.69%.

It’s crucial to remember that market dynamics don’t always favor activity. The recent underperformance of the S&P 500 can perhaps be attributed to a confluence of international economic factors, impending central bank decisions, or unsettling geopolitical developments that left investors jittery. In such times, our allegiance to rigor and restraint served as a steady hand on the tiller amidst turbulent seas.

By choosing not to engage in trades that did not meet our high-confidence criteria, we avoided potential landmines. This outperformance compared to the broader market emphasizes the importance of sticking to a well-founded strategy, even when the trading environment is rife with noise and short-term volatility.

In summary, this week’s market action, or lack thereof, speaks to the sometimes counterintuitive strategy of winning by not losing. The Numbers’ steadfast approach not only sheltered us from unnecessary losses but set us apart from the broader index, rounding off the week with a commendable outperforming stance. Our vigilance continues as we scour the horizon for the next wave of opportunities, armed with our established patience and expertise.

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