Capital Commentary: 11-29-2025

Over the past week, The Numbers skillfully navigated the tumultuous financial markets with a keen focus on the metals sector, capturing solid returns amidst market volatility. The portfolio leaned heavily into precious metals, and for good reason, as these commodities have historically been safe havens during periods of uncertainty and inflation concerns.

Starting with the Silver Trust Ishares ETF, we saw an impressive 10.48% return. This surge suggests a burgeoning interest in silver as a hedge against market instability, possibly driven by investors seeking alternatives to gold for wealth preservation amidst turbulent economic signals. Such a strategy paid off handsomely for The Numbers as silver prices received a boost.

The Vaneck Gold Miners ETF offered another strong performance, yielding an 8.35% return. As gold prices steady themselves in reaction to inflationary fears and geopolitical tensions, gold mining stocks tend to amplify these movements. This ETF reflects the underlying strength in gold miners, who benefit directly from rising gold prices and operational efficiencies.

Taking a more conservative step, The Numbers went long on Gold SPDR ETF, which brought in a return of 4.19%. This was a strategic move, capturing the direct benefits of rising gold prices. The steady march of gold upwards amidst central bank moves and dollar fluctuations provided a resilient cushion, enhancing portfolio stability.

In a cautious approach to equities, The Numbers went long on the Russell 2000 Ishares ETF, garnering a modest 0.42% gain. This marginal rise mirrors the broader market’s hesitance as small-cap stocks face a delicate balancing act between growth prospects and economic headwinds.

Highlighting some challenges, the portfolio’s bet on the Vaneck Semiconductor ETF resulted in a loss of 2.35%. The semiconductor industry, integral to technology and innovation, can be volatile and sensitive to supply chain disruptions and economic slowdown fears. The loss here indicates external pressures outweighing the sector’s growth potential during the period.

Similarly, the Emerging Markets Ishares MSCI ETF faced headwinds, resulting in a 2.66% loss. Emerging markets have been under pressure from a robust US dollar and global monetary policy shifts. Despite their long-term growth potential, these regions battle near-term risks related to geopolitical tensions and currency volatility.

Overall, The Numbers delivered a commendable 6.30% total portfolio gain, outdoing the S&P 500’s 2.19% return by a notable 4.11%. Such an achievement underscores the effectiveness of its metal-centric strategy and judicious market positioning. With a 62% success rate on its trades, it’s clear The Numbers crafted a well-calibrated approach to a challenging market landscape, leveraging the right mix of defense and opportunistic plays.

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