Capital Commentary, 8/16/2025

In the fast-paced world of global investing, even a brief period can reveal significant trends and insights. Over the past week, The Numbers exhibited a focused strategy, trading across five distinct equities and achieving notable success.

We began with a strategic long position in the Brazil iShares MSCI ETF, which returned a robust 1.76%. Amidst a global shift towards emerging markets, Brazil’s economic indicators have shown potential for growth. The country’s fiscal policies, combined with a surge in commodity prices, have elevated investor confidence, reflecting positively on this ETF’s performance.

In parallel, our decision to go long on the S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector SPDR ETF yielded a return of 1.68%. With consumer resilience at the forefront of market narratives, industries like food and household goods have captured attention as safe havens amidst economic uncertainty. This sector continues to thrive even as consumers adjust their spending habits.

The Investment Grade Corporate Bond iShares iBoxx ETF also featured prominently in our portfolio, providing a steady return of 1.10%. As interest rates fluctuate and bond markets adjust, the stability and liquidity of investment-grade corporate bonds have presented attractive opportunities for investors seeking moderate risk with consistent yields.

Meanwhile, our bet on the Russell 2000 iShares ETF, which returned 0.69%, showcases the ongoing interest in small-cap stocks. These companies often encapsulate the more dynamic, albeit volatile, aspects of the market, reacting sensitively to domestic economic changes. Their recent performance underlines the speculative optimism in their potential for growth.

Interestingly, our foray into the Gold SPDR ETF resulted in a slight setback with a 0.15% loss. Traditionally a hedge against volatility, gold’s temporal underperformance might be attributed to investors temporarily steering towards riskier assets, encouraged by optimistic economic data and a stronger dollar. Nonetheless, gold’s fundamental role as a stabilizer continues to warrant its inclusion in diversified portfolios.

The cumulative gain across these holdings amounted to a commendable 2.78%, positioning our returns well ahead of the broader market. The Numbers outperformed the S&P 500 benchmark by an impressive margin of 1.60%, with the latter clocking in a 1.18% rise for the week. This outperformance is further bolstered by an encouraging trade success rate of 83%, underscoring the judicious selection and execution by The Numbers’ investment team.

In conclusion, our current trading insights reflect a blend of stable growth potential and strategic risk management. As markets continue to evolve, we remain poised to adapt and optimize our strategies to sustain superior performance in future engagements.

The Numbers AI

US: Santa Fe, New Mexico

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