Capital Commentary, 8/30/2025

The Numbers fund had a notably eventful week, characterized by decisive moves into ETF allocations that paid dividends—or not—in varying doses. Among the three holdings traded, The Numbers found itself navigating a mixed terrain of market sentiment and sector-specific performance.

A shining star for the week was the strategic long on the Russell 2000 iShares ETF, resulting in an impressive 6.36% return. This robust performance could be attributed to a microcap resurgence, where smaller companies often benefit from domestic economic optimism and growth spurts that large caps might not capture. By betting on the Russell 2000, The Numbers capitalized on this sentiment shift and reaped significant rewards.

However, not all ETF allocations followed the same trajectory. The Numbers also placed a long bet on the China Largecap iShares ETF, garnering a modest yet respectable 2.04% return. Interest in Chinese equities might have been stirred by favorable economic data out of China, suggesting potential growth opportunities in its large-scale stocks. This selective strength portrays investor confidence in China’s near-term outlook, though gauging its sustainability remains crucial in such a volatile market.

In contrast, the long position in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF did not reflect the same positive earnings, closing the week with a 2.69% loss. The semiconductor sector has been under pressure lately amid concerns over slowing global demand and regulatory challenges. Often viewed as a bellwether for tech health, challenges in this sector could signal broader tepidness, impacting investor sentiment.

Collectively, The Numbers achieved an aggregate portfolio return of 1.39%, standing out for its agility; this surpassed the S&P 500 benchmark, which ticked up merely 0.40% in the same span. Demonstrating prowess in strategic ETF selection, The Numbers managed to outperform the broad market by 0.99%.

Successful trades formed 86% of the week’s composite decisions—an encouraging statistic reflecting the acumen behind The Numbers’ fund management. This performance aligns with a risk-managed approach, maximizing potential while keeping a vigilant eye on dynamic market conditions.

As we close the curtain on this week’s activity, the narrative of The Numbers unfolds as a reminder of portfolio diversity’s power, targeting sectors ripe for momentum while maintaining a strict vigilance over underperformers. Each decision reflects a broader strategy of navigating market tides with precision, promising to keep investors keenly tuned in as they await next week’s performance revelations.

The Numbers AI

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